Athens Energy Forum 2019: January 28-29, 2019
MONDAY, JANUARY 28 | DAY 1
Achilles Tsaltas, Vice President, International Conferences, The New York Times
George Stathakis, Minister of Energy and Environment, Greece
Geoffrey Pyatt, U.S. Ambassador in Greece
with Tom Ellis, Editor in Chief, Kathimerini English Edition
- Increasing the substance of trilateral cooperation between Cyprus, Israel and Egypt
- Greece as an East Med Security player
- The Greek-FYROM and Serbia-Kosovo Disputes
Chair: Dr. Aristotle Tziampiris, Professor of International Relations, University of Piraeus
George Katrougkalos, Alternate Foreign Minister for European Affairs, Greece
Konstantinos Skrekas, MP, Head of Energy and Environment Sector, Former Minister of Development and Competitiveness, New Democracy Party
Victor Grigorescu, Former Minister of Energy, Romania
Q & A
In conversation
Aris Xenofos, Chairman of the BoD, Hellenic Republic Asset Development Fund
with Achilles Topas, Journalist, SKAI TV
Chair: Theodore Tsakiris, Assistant Professor, Geopolitics & Hydrocarbons, University of Nicosia, Program Adviser AEF 2019
Dr. Andreas Poullikkas, Chairman, Cyprus Energy Regulatory Authority
Dr. Symeon Kassianides, Chairman, Natural Gas Public Company
Roudi Baroudi, CEO, Energy & Environment Holding
Q & A
- Greek offshore exploration
- Developments in Israel and Egypt
- Developments in the Black Sea and the Adriatic
Chair: Alexandra Sdoukou, Energy Advisor
Yannis Bassias, President, Hellenic Hydrocarbons Resources Management S.A.
Yannis Grigoriou, CEO, Hellenic Petroleum Upstream S.A.
Orit Ganor, Director of Natural Gas International Trade, Ministry of Energy, Israel
Q & A
- The IGB pipeline project
- The Alexandroupolis FSRU project and planned regional LNG terminals
- The feasibility of the East Med Gas Pipeline
- The TAP and Turkish Stream projects and associated vertical corridors
- Latest developments in the National Natural Gas System
- Existing and future gas storage available in the region
Chair: Prof. Nikolaos Farantouris, Chair, Legal Affairs, EUROGAS, Brussels
Konstantinos Karayannakos, Executive Officer, ICGB
Katerina Papalexandri, Country Manager Greece, TAP
Theodore Tsakiris, Assistant Professor, Geopolitics & Hydrocarbons, University of Nicosia, Program Adviser AEF 2019
Panayotis Kanellopoulos, Managing Director, M&M Gas S.A.
Nikos Katsis, NNGS Operation Division Director, Hellenic Gas Transmission System Operator (DESFA)
Ioannis Arapoglou, Vice Chairman, Gastrade
Alex Lagakos, Founding Chairman, Greek Energy Forum
Q & A
TUESDAY, JANUARY 29 | DAY 2
Symeon Tsomokos, Chairman, SGT SA
- Back-to-the-future: Lignite Power Generation in Greece
- Progress report on Island interconnectivity
- New network developments
- The evolution of wholesale and retail markets
Chair: Harris Floudopoulos, Journalist, Capital.gr
- The evolution of the power generation market and the rise of the domestic competition in electricity
Andrea Testi, Chairman, Elpedison
Dimitri Tzanninis, Deputy CEO & Member of the BoD, Public Power Corporation, Greece
Dinos Benroubi, General Manager Electric Power Business Unit, Protergia/MYTILINEOS
- The target model and the new challenges
Manousos Manousakis, Chairman & CEO, Independent Power Transmission Operator
Nektaria Karakatsani, Member of the Board, Regulatory Authority for Energy
Constantine Couclelis, Chairman, Hellenic Union of Industrial Consumers of Energy
Intervention: Michael Philippou, CEO, Hellenic Energy Exchange
Q & A
Megan Richards, Director, Energy Policy, DG Energy, European Commission
Chair: George Passalis, Managing Director, Accenture Applied Intelligence
Professor Miltiades E. Anagnostou, School of Electrical & Computer Engineer, NTUA
Yannis Vougiouklakis, Member, National Committee for Energy and Climate Plan
Tim Fairchild, Practice Director, Global Energy Practice, SAS
Q & A
- The importance of RES in the Greek 2030 energy mix
- Is the market-test process working?
- Finance: Moving beyond the FIT-Premium
Chair: Dr. Ioannis Tsipouridis, Renewables Consultant Engineer, Editor of e-mc2.gr
Maria Spyraki, Member of the European Parliament
Professor Yannis Maniatis, MP, Democratic Coalition, f. Minister of Environment, Energy & Climate Change
Dr. Arthouros Zervos, Chair, REN21
Harry Boyd-Carpenter, Director, Head of Power and Energy Utilities, EBRD
Marios Zangas, Head, Greece & Cyprus, Vestas Hellas
Q & A
Chair: Achilles Topas, Journalist, SKAI TV
Athanassios Savvakis, President, Federation of Industries of Northern Greece & Hellenic Energy Exchange
Vassilis Karamouzis, Assist. General Manager, Corporate & Investment Banking, National Bank of Greece
Q&A
- Will the Paris Climate Change agreement goals be met
- What is the role of the EU
- What challenges for Greece
Chair: Zoi Vrontisi, Chairwoman, National Center for the Environment & Sustainable Development
Keynote Address: Socrates Famellos, Alternate Minister, Ministry of Environment & Energy
Prof. Christos Zerefos, Head, Research Center for Atmospheric Physics & Climatology, Academy of Athens
Sabina Dziurman, Director Greece & Cyprus, EBRD
Demetres Karavellas, CEO, WWF Greece
Xavier L. Rousseau, Head of Corporate Strategy, Snam
Q & A
MILAN – About a decade ago, the Commission on Growth and Development (which I chaired) published a report that attempted to distill 20 years of research and experience in a wide range of countries into lessons for developing economies. Perhaps the most important lesson was that growth patterns that lack inclusiveness and fuel inequality generally fail.
The reason for this failure is not strictly economic. Those who are adversely affected by the means of development, together with those who lack sufficient opportunities to reap its benefits, become increasingly frustrated. This fuels social polarization, which can lead to political instability, gridlock, or short-sighted decision-making, with serious long-term consequences for economic performance.
There is no reason to believe that inclusiveness affects the sustainability of growth patterns only in developing countries, though the specific dynamics depend on a number of factors. For example, rising inequality is less likely to be politically and socially disruptive in a high-growth environment (think a 5-7% annual rate) than in a low- or no-growth environment, where the incomes and opportunities of a subset of the population are either stagnant or declining.
The latter dynamic is now playing out in France, with the “Yellow Vest” protests of the last month. The immediate cause of the protests was a new fuel tax. The added cost was not all that large (about $0.30 per gallon), but fuel prices in France were already among the highest in Europe (roughly $7 per gallon, including existing taxes).
Although such a tax might advance environmental objectives by bringing about a reduction in emissions, it raises international competitiveness issues. Moreover, as proposed, the tax (which has now been rescinded) was neither revenue-neutral nor intended to fund expenditures aimed at helping France’s struggling households, especially in rural areas and smaller cities.
In reality, the eruption of the Yellow Vest protests was less about the fuel tax than what its introduction represented: the government’s indifference to the plight of the middle class outside France’s largest urban centers. With job and income polarization having increased across all developed economies in recent decades, the unrest in France should serve as a wake-up call to others.
y most accounts, the adverse distributional features of growth patterns in developed economies began about 40 years ago, when labor’s share of national income began to decline. Later, developed economies’ labor-intensive manufacturing sectors began to face increased pressure from an increasingly competitive China and, more recently, automation.
For a time, growth and employment held up, obscuring the underlying job and income polarization. But when the 2008 global financial crisis erupted, growth collapsed, unemployment spiked, and banks that had been allowed to become too large to fail had to be bailed out to prevent a broader economic meltdown. This exposed far-reaching economic insecurity, while undermining trust and confidence in establishment leaders and institutions.
To be sure, France, like a number of other European countries, has its share of impediments to growth and employment, such as those rooted in the structure and regulation of labor markets. But any effort to address these issues must be coupled with measures that mitigate and eventually reverse the job and income polarization that has been fueling popular discontent and political instability.
So far, however, Europe has failed abysmally on this front – and paid a high price. In many countries, nationalist and anti-establishment political forces have gained ground. In the United Kingdom, widespread frustration with the status quo fueled the vote in 2016 to leave the EU, and similar sentiment is now undermining the French and German governments. In Italy, it contributed to the victory of a populist coalition government. At this point, it is difficult to discern viable solutions for deepening European integration, let alone the political leadership needed to implement them.
The situation is not much better in the United States. As in Europe, the gap between those in the middle and at the top of the income and wealth distribution – and between those in major cities and the rest – is growing rapidly. This contributed to voters’ rejection of establishment politicians, enabling the victory in 2016 of US President Donald Trump, who has since placed voter frustration in the service of enacting policies that may only exacerbate inequality.
In the longer term, persistent non-inclusive growth patterns can produce policy paralysis or swings from one relatively extreme policy agenda to another. Latin America, for example, has considerable experience with populist governments that pursue fiscally unsustainable agendas that favor distributional components over growth-enhancing investments. It also has considerable experience with subsequent abrupt shifts to extreme market-driven models that ignore the complementary roles that government and the private sector must play to sustain strong growth.
Greater political polarization has also resulted in an increasingly confrontational approach in international relations. This will hurt global growth by undermining the world’s ability to modify the rules governing trade, investment, and the movement of people and information. It will also hamper the world’s ability to address longer-term challenges like climate change and labor-market reform.
But to go back to the beginning, the main lessons from experience in developing and now developed economies are that sustainability in the broad sense and inclusiveness are inextricably linked. Moreover, large-scale failures of inclusion derail reforms and investments that sustain longer-term growth. And economic and social progress should be pursued effectively – not with a simple list of policies and reforms, but with a strategy and an agenda that involves careful sequencing and pacing of reforms and devotes more than passing attention to the distributional consequences.
The hard part of constructing inclusive growth strategies is not knowing where you want to end up so much as figuring out how to get there. And it ishard, which is why leadership and policymaking skill play a crucial role.